{"id":4396,"date":"2015-09-03T16:17:19","date_gmt":"2015-09-03T08:17:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.kujyaku.cn\/?p=4396"},"modified":"2015-09-03T20:33:24","modified_gmt":"2015-09-03T12:33:24","slug":"4396","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/?p=4396","title":{"rendered":"如何结合问题去看三役好转"},"content":{"rendered":"

预备班是想观察一下学员的思考能力和理解能力，从前的学员中，多少还是有跟不上课程不能理解然后造成完成不了作业接着也就相当于白学了。因为凡是外面市面上你能看到的资料和知识都不是我要教的范围，你花了学费想学的也不会是那些大路货，我的作用是教授大家一些思考思想和我的交易系统，然后指导大家形成你们自己的交易系统。<\/p>\n

同样一个一目均衡表的云图，有的人会看重云的形态，有的人看重的是支撑和阻力。同样一个简简单单的定义，对于某些人来说就是字面上的意思，而有些人渐渐地找到了内涵，而进入见山不是山的境界。<\/p>\n

在预备班对定义的连续两次提问，开始展开了一些讨论，理解上的差距和意识一下子就拉开了。我们从简单的转折线和基准线的计算公式，延伸到一目均衡表中的一个关键点：基准线不上升的好转市场的生命是短暂的。今天就根据这个要点来看一下三役好转的案例。<\/p>\n

还是得解释一下三役好转。课程上的很多术语我依然沿用日语，实在没有必要去硬生生地翻译成中文，TB上有人买来一目均衡表的原版书籍找了日语专业的小MM廉价来翻译，你倒是去看看他是咋翻译的。不提。在从前的股票市场，是只有做多一条路，所以入场点追求的是多的时机。那时候价格上升的市场才会称为【好】市场，所以好转追寻的是从不理想的市场到好市场的一个转换的时机。【役】在日语中有作用功效的意思，三役好转其实是指一目均衡表中三个很有作用的市场好转的时机点。<\/p>\n

顺带说一下，相对三役好转其实原来没有什么三役坏转的说法，虽然三役好转的特性反过来用在空方市场上也是可以的，但特性总多少有点不一样，切忌生搬硬套拿来就用，使用时候多少要小心的。原因之一，多和空是两种特性，两种趋势，其势力和动能是不一样的，这也是为啥有千年爬一朝跌的说法。<\/p>\n

In the book Ichimoku Charts wrote by Nicole Elliot, there is not talk about anything for this point: The up market is short life when the kijyun-sen is parallel.<\/span> Also not talk about all with Sanyaku Kouten too. One of Sanyaku Kouten: the price is crossover by Senkou Span is usually used for trading as a signal. And the cross of between Tenkan-Sen and Kijyun-Sen is used as the gold cross and death cross of average line.<\/p>\n

Now we watch the Tenkan-Sen and Kijyun-Sen’s cross, what is happened when the kijyun-sen keeps parallel.<\/span><\/p>\n

那么先看第一个好转：转折线由下向上穿越过基准线。<\/p>\n

这个好转在均线理论中其实属于交叉，我们指的所谓金叉。但一目均衡表的五线，除了延迟线以外，虽然都是均线的计算方法，但和其他的均线EMA之类的有很大的不同，其中，最大的不同是，其他理论的均线上你几乎看不到它们的均线可以有相当一段长的期间是平行的。而这恰恰是一目均衡表的精彩之处。<\/p>\n

我们来看GJ的M15图表，为了便于解说，我特意编写了这样的一个指标，删去了延迟线和先行SPAN，而唯独将转折和基准作为span的概念，构筑成转折基准云。红色的是转折线，蓝色的是基准线。这个指标里，转折线在上，基准线在下构成阳云；转折线在下，基准线在上则为阴云。<\/p>\n

I had programed one indicator for just using Tenkan-Sen and Kijyun-Sen to build one cloud as SPAN. The spanA is Tenkan-Sen(red line) and the spanB is Kijyun-Sen(blue line), and when the Tenkan-Sen is up than Kijyun-Sen we can call it YangTen and the other way round is YinTen.<\/p>\n

\"GJM15.png\"<\/p>\n

在这里我们看到一段云变，金叉之后也就是所谓阴云转化为阳云，阳转即代表三役好转的第一转。按定义是不是这个时候就可以做多单入场了呢？不用急，我们可以看到红色外框标注的一段平行的基准线，而接下来的蓝色外框领域的价格线就演示了我们提出了的问题，基准线平行的上升市场的生命是短暂的，价格线很快就回落了。因此很多人为什么用不好三役好转，很大的一个原因就是金叉时候就入场，也就因为后期存在着基准线平行，这个上升的趋势是相当的短暂而回落后拿不住了利益。这其实就是用普通均线理论来入场，但忽视了一目均衡表的定义的特性。<\/p>\n

At here, the YangTen is gold cross and the price is going to up way. But we could watched that red square where spanB(Kijyun-Sen) is keep parallel and the blue square where the up price is return into cloud soon and the up trading life is so short at here.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

预备班是想观&#23519 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"aside","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,12,37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-aside","hentry","category-about-leasson","category-basic-theory","category-qa","post_format-post-format-aside"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4396"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4396\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4397,"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4396\/revisions\/4397"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/192.3.199.50:9999\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}